Buffalo
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 64.3170Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 10-23 906 H St Francis 45- 6 913 A Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 31-28 920 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 17-21 927 H UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 17-20 1004 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-30 1018 A UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 28-25 1025 H Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 16-24 1101 A Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 28- 3 1112 A Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 19-38 1119 H MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 20-37 1128 H Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 26-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A Minnesota 10-23 -13 -18 1.00
913 A Kent State 31-28 3 -5 +++ 8.18
920 H Troy 17-21 -4 -2 -1.98
927 H UConn 17-20 -3 -5 1.83
1004 H Ea Michigan 31-30 1 2 -1.45
1018 A UMass 28-25 3 10 --- -7.38
1025 H Akron 16-24 -8 7 --- -14.65
1101 A Bowl. Green 28- 3 25 -5 +++ 18.90
1112 A Cen Michigan 19-38 -19 -14 -0.45
1119 H MiamiOH 20-37 -17 -5 --- -9.48
1128 H Ohio 26-31 -5 -7 1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A UMass 28-25 3 10 --- -7.38 1025 H Akron 16-24 -8 7 --- -14.65 1119 H MiamiOH 20-37 -17 -5 --- -9.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Kent State 31-28 3 -5 +++ 8.18 1101 A Bowl. Green 28- 3 25 -5 +++ 18.90 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Minnesota ( 8- 5, 76.8) 10-23 -23.09 28.13 5.26 1.16 -10.33
3 A Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 31-28 -35.66 15.56 5.26 1.16 48.26
3 H Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 17-21 -28.31 22.91 -5.26 1.16 -19.45
3 H UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 17-20 -25.49 25.73 -5.26 1.16 -17.82
3 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-30 -32.78 18.44 -5.26 1.16 30.56
3 A UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 28-25 -51.22 1.00 5.26 1.16 14.51
3 H Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 16-24 -36.97 14.25 -5.26 1.16 -24.47
3 A Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 28- 3 -35.94 15.28 5.26 1.16 47.62
3 A Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 19-38 -27.29 23.93 5.26 1.16 -12.77
3 H MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 20-37 -25.80 25.42 -5.26 1.16 -18.00
3 H Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 26-31 -23.60 27.62 -5.26 1.16 -16.73
------
21.37
|
winning pts = 140.9498 losing points = -119.5811
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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